ADT Inc (ADT) is undervalued and Brink's Co (BCO) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, ADT trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +52%, against +22% for BCO.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $13.73; the price of $6.54 is 52% below that value, and 82% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 54/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.5% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $137.63; the price of $107.12 is 22% below that value, and 81% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 41/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | ADT | BCO |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Undervalued |
| Price | $6.54 | $107.12 |
| Intrinsic value | $13.73 | $137.63 |
| Margin of safety | +52% | +22% |
| Leak Score | 54/100 (3/12) | 41/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $4.8B | $4.4B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | -0.7% | 7.3% |
| Operating margin | 25.2% | 10.4% |
| Net margin | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Return on equity | 17.2% | 64.1% |
| Debt to equity | 2.24 | 14.67 |
| P/E | 9.1x | 24.8x |
| Forward P/E | 6.6x | 10.3x |
| P/B | 1.4x | 14.2x |
| Dividend yield | 3.4% | 1.0% |