Abbvie Inc (ABBV) is overvalued and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. JNJ is the closer of the two: -32%, against -148% for ABBV.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $106.86; the price of $265.21 is 148% above that value, and 83% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 57/100 on 8 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $204.15; the price of $269.19 is 32% above that value, and 83% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 50/100 on 9 of 12 signals
| Metric | ABBV | JNJ |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $265.21 | $269.19 |
| Intrinsic value | $106.86 | $204.15 |
| Margin of safety | -148% | -32% |
| Leak Score | 57/100 (8/12) | 50/100 (9/12) |
| Market cap | $468.7B | $648.7B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Operating margin | 34.2% | 27.0% |
| Net margin | 9.7% | 21.5% |
| Return on equity | 15221.8% | 25.7% |
| Debt to equity | — | 0.58 |
| P/E | 75.0x | 31.2x |
| Forward P/E | 16.2x | 21.2x |
| P/B | — | 7.6x |
| Dividend yield | 2.6% | 2.0% |