Target Corp (TGT)

NYSE · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · USA

Target Corp is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the Discount Stores industry.

Target Corporation offers fashionable merchandise and everyday essentials at discounted prices to customers through stores and digital channels. The company operates as a single segment selling general merchandise and groceries, with sales from owned and exclusive brands. Target also generates revenue from advertising services, credit card profit sharing, and a digital marketplace.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Target Corp stock.

Our verdict on TGT

Overvalued: intrinsic value $109.93 per share, market price $153.29, margin of safety -39.4% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 9.0% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $109.93; the price of $153.29 is 39% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 45/100 on 12 of 12 signals (On Watch).

ETFs with the most weight in TGT

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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Is TGT undervalued or overvalued?

TGT is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 9.0% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $109.93; the price of $153.29 is 39% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of TGT?

$109.93 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $153.29. That is a margin of safety of -39.4%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into TGT stock?

The price asks for more growth than the company has delivered. It needs the future to beat the past. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 7.2%. Yearly sales decline it has shown: 0.8%.

What is Target Corp's Leak Score?

45 out of 100, which we rate "On Watch", on 12 of 12 value investing signals.