Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)

NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · USA

Murphy USA Inc is a mid cap company (market value between $2 billion and $10 billion) in the Specialty Retail industry.

Murphy USA markets motor fuel and convenience merchandise through retail stores branded as Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek positioned near Walmart locations across the Southeast, Southwest, Midwest, and Northeast regions. The company also supplies fuel to unbranded wholesale customers through company-owned and third-party distribution terminals.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Murphy USA Inc stock.

Our verdict on MUSA

Overvalued: intrinsic value $356.62 per share, market price $537.64, margin of safety -50.8% (as of 2026-10-20).

Discounting its cash flows at 7.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $356.62; the price of $537.64 is 51% above that value, and 82% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 53/100 on 12 of 12 signals (Weak Signal).

ETFs with the most weight in MUSA

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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Peers in Specialty Retail

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Cheaper than MUSA in Specialty Retail

12 more in this industry show a wider margin of safety.

Is MUSA undervalued or overvalued?

MUSA is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-20 close). Discounting its cash flows at 7.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $356.62; the price of $537.64 is 51% above that value, and 82% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of MUSA?

$356.62 per share (as of the 2026-10-20 close), against a market price of $537.64. That is a margin of safety of -50.8%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What is Murphy USA Inc's Leak Score?

53 out of 100, which we rate "Weak Signal", on 12 of 12 value investing signals.