Home Depot Inc (HD)

NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail · USA

Home Depot Inc is a mega cap company (market value over $200 billion) in the Home Improvement Retail industry.

Home Depot is a retailer selling home improvement and construction supplies across stores in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, as well as through digital channels. The company serves homeowners and professional tradespeople with products, installation services, and equipment rental options.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Home Depot Inc stock.

Our verdict on HD

Overvalued: intrinsic value $233.40 per share, market price $309.88, margin of safety -32.8% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 9.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $233.40; the price of $309.88 is 33% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 52/100 on 11 of 12 signals (Weak Signal).

ETFs with the most weight in HD

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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Is HD undervalued or overvalued?

HD is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 9.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $233.40; the price of $309.88 is 33% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of HD?

$233.40 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $309.88. That is a margin of safety of -32.8%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into HD stock?

The price asks for more growth than the company has delivered. It needs the future to beat the past. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 12.6%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 4.1%.

What is Home Depot Inc's Leak Score?

52 out of 100, which we rate "Weak Signal", on 11 of 12 value investing signals.